First look: RXO optimistic about 2Q after a tough first quarter

3PL sees significantly better economic performance in the current three-month period

After a tough first quarter, RXO sees improvement coming in the second. (Photo: Jim Allen\FreightWaves)

RXO had the type of rough quarter that might be expected given rising spot freight rates against lower contract numbers, but it foresees a significantly better second quarter.

In its earnings released Thursday morning prior to an 8 a.m. EDT conference call, the company said it expected a second-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $27 million to $37 million. That is coming after a first quarter EBITDA number of $6 million. 

It also would be accomplished with RXO (NYSE: RXO) expecting volume growth to be flat year-over-year. It also said it expects second quarter truckload gross profit per load would increase sequentially.

The downside of the market structure that hit RXO is that its revenue was flat at $1.4 billion, but its gross margin was 14.2%, compared to 16% in the first quarter of 2025.

The first quarter GAAP net loss was $36 million, compared to $31 million a year earlier. The figure for 2026 was impacted by $20 million in other charges. 

But the adjusted figure also was worse than the prior year, an adjusted net loss of $16 million compared to $5 million a year earlier. 

The adjusted EBITDA figure of $6 million was less than the $22 million in 2025’s first quarter.

RXO was able to increase its spot mix, which helped move it away from the contract business impacted negatively by higher spot rates. The company said its spot mix was 33% of volume in the quarter, compared to 28% sequentially from the fourth quarter of 2025. That helped produce what RXO said was “the largest sequential increase in gross profit per load in more than three years.”

The growth in truckload spot mix was 600 basis points year-over-year.

In its forecast, RXO said it expected contract rates to be up high-single digits for all of 2026, which is more than its earlier forecast of low to mid-single digits.

The type of conditions RXO faced were clear in its revenue figure of $1.425 billion. That was down slightly from $1.433 billion a year earlier. But its cost of transportation and services rose to $1.171 billion from $1.153 billion.

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John Kingston

John has an almost 40-year career covering commodities, most of the time at S&P Global Platts. He created the Dated Brent benchmark, now the world’s most important crude oil marker. He was Director of Oil, Director of News, the editor in chief of Platts Oilgram News and the “talking head” for Platts on numerous media outlets, including CNBC, Fox Business and Canada’s BNN. He covered metals before joining Platts and then spent a year running Platts’ metals business as well. He was awarded the International Association of Energy Economics Award for Excellence in Written Journalism in 2015. In 2010, he won two Corporate Achievement Awards from McGraw-Hill, an extremely rare accomplishment, one for steering coverage of the BP Deepwater Horizon disaster and the other for the launch of a public affairs television show, Platts Energy Week.