Newsletters

Michael Baudendistel Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Nothing smooth about butter

High butter prices expected to persist Butter is currently second only to eggs for the title of most inflationary food item, up 25% year over year, compared to 13%-14% for the entire grocery category. Inventories of cold butter at the end of July were the lowest since 2017. Those stocks are usually built up early […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Friday, August 26, 2022

As truckload rates fall, competition with intermodal intensifies

Consumer packaged goods companies (CPGs) and retailers are among the largest intermodal shippers. Today’s edition of The Stockout highlights data relevant for shippers that utilize rail intermodal or are looking to move in that direction for transportation savings and/or to promote dedication to environmental, social and governance (ESG) initiatives.  Will there truly be a peak […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Wednesday, August 17, 2022

CPGs grapple with uncertain consumer behavior

How well will consumer packaged goods (CPG) purchases ultimately hold up?  Not only is CPG demand forecasting arguably more difficult than ever, it is also more critical than normal since many CPGs have to decide whether to continue with high-cost contract manufacturing that served as a way to find capacity during the pandemic when demand […]

Read More »
Thomas Wasson Saturday, August 13, 2022

Loaded and Rolling: Costliest year in trucking; truckload drivers’ earnings up

ATRI: Costliest year ever in trucking On Wednesday, the American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI) released its annual report on the operational costs of trucking. The report, which has been published annually since 2008, is based on motor carrier financial and operations data from 2021.  Below are some highlights from the report and press release:  Total […]

Read More »
Thomas Wasson Wednesday, August 10, 2022

Loaded and Rolling: Independent contractor legal battle; the hidden costs of compliance

Legal battle over trucking independent contractors The trucking owner-operator business model is getting more legal challenges. The 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals overturned a lower court decision in May 2021 that ruled in favor of Schneider’s contract terms, creating a situation where an owner-operator is effectively an employee based on its interpretation of the […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Wednesday, June 29, 2022

General Mills expects supply chain disruptions to persist

General Mills’ supply chain disruptions to persist At a Wall Street conference earlier this month, Jonathan Nudi, General Mills’ president of North American retail, said, “We’re seeing 10 times the number of disruptions in our supply chain from an ingredient standpoint coming into our plants than we ever experienced before. And this gets really challenging […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Wednesday, June 22, 2022

Why the Kellogg split makes sense

Kellogg splitsville As I am sure you’ve seen, the big CPG news Tuesday was that Kellogg will become three separate companies. Management will focus on the snacks/international business (I’ll call it Snack Co.) and plans to spin off the North American cereal business (Cereal Co.) and the plant-based businesses (Plant Co.) into separate entities, with […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Wednesday, May 25, 2022

Rail service becomes bigger political football

Ranked 39th on the Transport Topics list of top brokerage firms, Axle Logistics takes a consultative and streamlined approach to your shipping needs. Email sales@axlelogistics.com to connect with the team today!  Bipartisan agreement that rail service is poor  As described by FreightWaves’ Joanna Marsh, a group of 19 senators from 13 states wrote a letter […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Friday, May 20, 2022

What the retail rout means for CPGs

Ranked 39th on the Transport Topics list of top brokerage firms, Axle Logistics takes a consultative and streamlined approach to your shipping needs. Email sales@axlelogistics.com to connect with the team today!  Retail rout This week saw a rout in retail stocks with shares of Walmart and Target down 21% and 31%, respectively, during the past […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Wednesday, May 18, 2022

Does reacting to real-time supply chain data beat forecasting?

Numerous companies, including CPG companies, at FreightWaves’ The Future of Supply Chain conference last week highlighted the difficulty of accurately forecasting. We heard that sentiment expressed from numerous companies, including transportation companies and intermediaries as well as CPG companies and other shippers. Basically, market forecasts are almost always too reflective of current market conditions without […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Wednesday, April 20, 2022

CPG margin pressure no longer surprises Wall Street

Procter & Gamble highlights the combination of commodity, freight and foreign exchange as having a combined 22% headwind on core EPS in its fiscal 2022 (ending June 30). The company’s organic sales grew 10% in its just-reported fiscal Q3 2022, broken down into pricing, volume and sales mix contributing 5, 3 and 2 points, respectively. […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Wednesday, March 16, 2022

The Stockout: No way to mask rising grocery prices

Grocery prices rose 8.6% year-over-year in February. As miserable as the overall 7.9% inflation rate was for most consumers in February, grocery inflation outpaced it, with its highest rate of price growth in 40 years. The February year-over-year increase in grocery inflation exceeded the 7.9% year-over-year growth in January and grocery prices were also up […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Friday, March 4, 2022

CPG powerhouses aplenty at Future of Supply Chain

Before getting into CPG news, I encourage readers of The Stockout to join us at The Future of Supply Chain event, which takes place May 9-10 at the Rogers Convention Centers in Northwest Arkansas. Keynote speakers include Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson and Jonathan Hoffman, former chief Pentagon spokesman. The CPG industry will be well represented […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Friday, February 25, 2022

CPG companies quickly halt operations in Ukraine

Numerous multinational CPG companies are suspending or limiting production in Ukraine in an effort to keep employees safe. The major CPG companies that have announced they are limiting or suspending production and/or distribution in Ukraine include Nestle, Coca-Cola, Philip Morris and Mondelez. The same is true for global agriculture companies that have operations in Ukraine, […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Friday, February 18, 2022

Nestle’s portfolio shift pays off, avoids margin pressure seen at peers

Nestle’s corporate strategy the past several years has prepared it for the highly inflationary environment we now find ourselves in. The main thing that stood out to me in Nestle’s full-year 2021 results, which were reported Thursday, was the stability in the company’s margins, which was highly impressive considering the tremendous margin pressure that many […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Monday, February 7, 2022

Clorox won’t clean up its margins this year

Following disappointing earnings on Thursday afternoon, Clorox (NYSE: CLX) shares fell 14.3% on Friday, making it the day’s worst-performing stock on the S&P 500. One of the lowlights was the company’s gross margin, which declined 1,240 basis points year-over-year in its fiscal second quarter to 33% from 45.5% one year earlier. That contraction was primarily […]

Read More »
Michael Baudendistel Friday, January 14, 2022

The Stockout: 5 SONAR charts that stand out

This week’s CPG news items reflect a continuation of recent food/beverage trends.  More crossover between soft drink and alcoholic drinks: Monster Beverage is the latest soft drink company to get into adult beverages by acquiring CANarchy Craft Brewery Collective, an owner of craft breweries, in a deal worth $330 million. Other recent examples of category […]

Read More »
Thomas Wasson Friday, January 14, 2022

Loaded and Rolling: Supreme Court COVID ruling; Freight costs climb; Consumer confidence climbs

Supreme Court blocks COVID vaccine mandate for large businesses On Thursday, the Supreme Court ruled in a 6-3 decision that blocked enforcement for vaccine or testing requirements for large private companies over 100 employees. Prior to the decision, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration issued new guidance, stating the vaccine mandate rule would not apply […]

Read More »